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´╗┐expectations by citing the maxim that byelections tend to be hard on the governing party. Spoiler Alert: The Canadian Press Baloney Meter is a dispassionate examination of political statements culminating in a ranking of accuracy on a scale of baloney to of baloney (complete methodology below). This one earns a rating of lot of baloney the assertion that byelections don favour governing parties has not held true since at least 1993. And it certainly hasn been true for Harper Conservatives, who gained five seats, held on to five others and lost only one previously held seat since 2006. Since 1945, he says the ruling party has won 49 per cent of byelections, opposition parties 51 per cent. Opposition parties have retained their seats 69 per cent of the time while the ruling party has hung on to its seats 66 per cent of the time.

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the governing party dropped an average of 6 points during byelections over that 40 year period. a logic to the fact that it a free kick at Caterpillar Shoes High Cut

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However, Wilfrid Laurier University political science professor Barry Kay argues that the win loss record is less relevant than what happens to the governing party share of the popular vote in byelections, compared to how they fared in the previous general election in those ridings. On that score, a study Kay did several decades ago of 147 byelections from 1940 to 1980, found that the governing party Buy Caterpillar Boots did indeed suffer during byelections. When the Liberals were in power, their vote share dropped an average of 5. 65 percentage points in byelections, Kay found. When the Conservatives were in power, their vote share dropped an average of 8.

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about the government than positive. findings appear to have held during Liberal Pierre Trudeau final term in off.

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the government, Kay says, noting that byelections give voters a chance to protest against the ruling party without fear of causing a change in government. byelection turnout is very low and the people who turn out in byelections are frequently more likely to be negative Burberry Shoes Online Shop

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